Kamis, 28 Februari 2013

Capital Ideas: Week 6

Brouwer_pokes_puck_from_semin

All about Coach Oates, special teams, goaltending, Milbury's big fat mouth and more in this week's edition of Capital Ideas - debate, discuss, enjoy!

  1. Last week's mini-series against the New Jersey Devils gave Caps fans a good look at what Adam Oates is trying to accomplish here in DC, but it's not just about the system he's putting in place - Oates is clearly trying to instill a culture, an identity for the team that extends beyond a single season. As Oates himself put it, "every single night the car is going to run itself and we just have to make sure we don’t derail it." The Devils were once famously described by Colin Campbell, then the coach of the Rangers, as being a team of interchangeable parts - and while it wasn't meant as a compliment, there's something to be said for having expectations set regardless of who is on the roster. And for a team that has perhaps been lacking in this area (or maybe has adopted the wrong culture/identity over time), the idea that Oates could come in and establish some sort of consistency - not just from game to game but from year to year - is one that should be appealing to Caps fans, particularly given the lasting success the Devils have had.
  2. After posting the second of back-to-back wins Tuesday night - and doing so in impressive fashion - Coach Oates pointed out that his players were maybe 60-70% of the way to getting the system down. Said Oates, "it's still not automatic all the time. We have waves of it where it looks automatic, but then we shoot ourselves in the foot a little bit." If it didn't seem like a reasonable comment to make at the time, it certainly does the morning after being treated to that remaining 30-40%, doesn't it?
  3. Not for nothing, but it's worth noting that the Caps had seven preseason games scheduled for the 2012-13 season. Now obviously not everyone plays in all of those games and there are other extenuating circumstances, but if you lop off the first seven games of this season, here's where the Caps stand:
    * 5-6-0
    * Outscoring opponents 3.08 to 2.83 goals per game
    * 34.2% on the PP and 78.0% on the PK
    * Getting more than a point per game out of Ovechkin
    Granted, that's an incredibly favorable way to look at things (and the numbers looked even better before last night's fiasco), but it's also not entirely fair to judge them on the season-to-date numbers, either, given the coaching change. So there's reason to buy that they're getting better, and given the roster, it may not be too long before we buy that Adam Oates might be on his way towards being a pretty good coach.
  4. The Caps' special teams differential has been one of the sticking points so far this season. The 79 times they've been shorthanded puts them at the 8th-most penalized team in the NHL, compared to the 66 times their opponents have been sent to the box. And while it's easy (and fun) to put on the tinfoil hat and claim referee bias, or to point to the penalties as the one problem facing this team, the reality is that this differential is more a symptom than a disease, and that disease is lack of possession. When the Caps have dominated possession, like they did against Carolina Tuesday night, they take fewer penalties because they're not chasing - they're being chased. When they don't, as was the case in the first New Jersey game last Thursday, the parade to the penalty box is usually inevitable... last night's loss the exception to that rule.
  5. Having said that, it's a trend that seems to be turning around (or at least has slowed up of late). Since the unraveling against the Devils a week ago, the Caps have played three games and have been penalized a grand total of eight times. Further to that point, last night was just the third game they've lost all season in which they've taken three or fewer penalties... and while it didn't help (particularly since they gave up two power play goals), being in the sin bin certainly wasn't why they lost last night.
  6. The way Braden Holtby's been playing recently, there probably weren't many people out there who were expecting to see Philipp Grubauer make his NHL debut last night - but reality cares not for what you least expect. And so after giving up four goals to the Flyers, there was Braden Holtby, with a supportive stick tap, yielding the net to Grubauer halfway through the game. Grubauer was terrific in relief, too, turning aside all fourteen shots he faced to salvage a little bit of dignity in an otherwise embarrassing game. The smallest of sample sizes, sure, but a promising start for yet another talented young goalie in the Caps' organization.
  7. By the way, Grubauer became the eighth goalie to step between the pipes for the Caps since the departure of longtime franchise goalie Olie Kolzig back in 2008 - he joins Cristobal Huet, Brent Johnson, Jose Theodore, Semyon Varlamov, Tomas Vokoun, Michal Neuvirth and of course Holtby as current or former Caps' netminders in the last five years.
  8. Since the first loss to Pittsburgh on Super Bowl Sunday, the Caps have lost three, won three, lost two, won two, lost one. Time to start a new pattern, boys... and pass the Dramamine.
  9. You might recall a little incident involving some comments made by Troy Brouwer prior to the return of Alexander Semin which may have insinuated that Semin was, perhaps, not the most consistent or dependable teammate. I find situations like this can be tricky to deal with as a fan. There's the sense that certain things should be kept behind the closed doors of the locker room instead of being aired publicly, particularly when it makes our team or our player or one of our former players look bad... and yet we constantly bemoan the lack of personality and honesty and candid opinions among the current crop of NHLers, complaining that they're all just cliche-spewing robots. Throw in the typical fan instinct to want to support the guy who wears your team's jersey over the guy who doesn't and it gets more complicated. Speaking from a personal standpoint, that fan loyalty is perhaps why I found it easier to defend Semin and vilify Matt Bradley the last time this happened, while this time around I'm leaning more toward Brouwer. Interesting phenomenon.
  10. Speaking of interesting phenomenons, it's amazing how strongly people (of both genders, don't pin this one all on us gals) felt about John Carlson's hair this year, and how much rejoicing there was in CapsNation when he finally got it cut a few days ago. People haven't talked about a haircut this much since Keri Russell chopped off her locks on Felicity... hey, there's a current pop culture reference for you.
  11. Random fact - Alex Ovechkin's hat trick last Saturday was the eleventh of his career, but it was his first against the Devils and only the third time a Capital has scored a hat trick against New Jersey since the 1987-88 season (first since 1990). With his trio of goals over the weekend, Ovechkin joined Mike Ridley and Dave Christian as the only Caps to accomplish this feat... not surprisingly, none of the three hat tricks came against Martin Brodeur.
  12. Better team performance - Saturday's 5-1 win over the Devils or Tuesday's 3-0 win over the Hurricanes?
  13. And while we're asking questions... which is more surprising, that Nicklas Backstrom only has two goals or that John Erskine already has two goals?
  14. When it comes to blowhards spewing nonsense on a regular basis, no one can top the magical Mike Milbury... and few can touch his thinly veiled contempt for Alex Ovechkin. So it came as no surprise that he spent most of the second intermission last night railing against Ovechkin's performance - but it is frustrating. Not because he was criticizing Ovechkin, and not because Ovechkin doesn't occasionally deserve criticism. Our frustration lies in the fact that Milbury ignores what has been a very good stretch of games by Ovechkin to focus on one bad one (in which Ovechkin was hardly the only one struggling) and does so in front of a national audience, some of whom will see only Milbury's rant and believe that this undeserved, inaccurate characterization of Ovechkin is true.
  15. "Overheard" on Twitter - just a sampling of what has to be the best live-tweeted train ride EVER:

Capitals vs. Flyers: Game 19 of 48

162806120

The Caps look to keep rolling as they head to Philadelphia for a date with the Flyers.


Next Game

Washington Capitals
@ Philadelphia Flyers

Wednesday, Feb 27, 2013, 7:30 PM EST
Wells Fargo Center

Wednesday Caps Clips: Southeast Shutout; Caps @ Flyers Game Day
  • Previews of tonight's game in the City of Brotherly Love from Vogs, NHL.com and AP, and be sure to check out the other side of the match-up from literally the best thing about Flyers hockey, our SB Nation pals over at Broad Street Hockey.
The Noon Number: 6.6

Complete Coverage >


Tonight's probable netminders:


GP MIN W L O GA GAA SA SV SV% SO
Braden Holtby 12 684 6 6 0 35 3.07 368 333 .905 2
Ilya Bryzgalov 19 1076 9 9 1 50 2.79 499 449 .900 1

Keep up with the latest Caps-related Tweets right here:

Look for updates in this story stream throughout the evening, including tonight's lines, new open threads for each period, and more.

And of course... have at it, people.

Recap: Flyers 4, Caps 1

162807207

[GameCenter - Ice Tracker - Game Summary - Event Summary - Shot Summary - Faceoff Summary - Play-by-Play - Home TOI - Visitor TOI - Fenwick Timeline]

After a hilariously bad start to the season, the Caps have seemingly turned things around of late, winning five of their last seven and putting together what was easily their best game of the season just twenty-four hours ago. The hope was that the Caps would take the momentum from a big win over the Hurricanes, pack it onto the train and take it up to Philadelphia with them.

Apparently someone forgot to put it in their suitcase, though, as the Caps looked like the opposite of the team that outscored their last two opponents 8-1. In fact, if it's possible for a sixty-minute game to be over in twenty-three seconds - or even four minutes - that was the case tonight, as a mostly flat outing cost them early and often.

Ten more notes on the game:

  • Remember that eight-game streak where the Caps had scored the first goal? Well, that’s done, and it ended pretty quickly as the Flyers capitalized on a weird bounce (and some sloppy play in front of the net) just 23 seconds into the game. As a road team, you always want to take the hometown crowd out of it...tough to do when they're busy celebrating a goal less than a minute in.
  • That one-goal lead became two not long after as another streak (albeit a shorter one) came to an end, this time the Caps’ modest two-game run of not giving up a power play goal. With Mike Ribeiro in the box for hooking, Wayne Simmonds gave the Flyers a two-goal cushion a little over four minutes in. Not only was it a rare power play goal-against - just the third allowed in the last twenty-six times shorthanded - it was also the first time the Caps had trailed since February 7 against the Penguins.
  • Things seemed to settle down a bit after that, with the Caps gradually finding their legs in the first. It looked as if the ship had been righted a bit - the Flyers stayed off the scoresheet, the Caps pulled almost even in shots...
  • ...and then the second period started. Into the penalty box went Joel Ward, back to the power play went the Flyers, on went the red light and all of a sudden it was 3-0 Caps thanks to the returning Simon Gagne.
  • This game was the opposite of everything the Caps have been of late. They gave up the first goal. Special teams were awful. Their opponent was allowed to crash the net. Ovechkin was subpar. Odds were that all of those things weren’t going to continue forever... but it might’ve been nice if just one or two fell apart instead of, you know, all of them.
  • A fourth goal from Max Talbot would signal the end of Braden Holtby’s night, which on its own isn’t that interesting or surprising. To add a fun little twist, though, Michal Neuvirth was out sick - which means it was Philipp Grubauer time. If he wanted advice on getting his first NHL experience in Philly after the starter got the hook, he need look no further than the man whose place he took tonight...funny how things work out sometimes.
  • One would imagine that being thrown into your first NHL game without much warning - in a place like Philadelphia, no less - is rather jarring. But if Grubauer was shaken up by the move, he certainly didn’t show it, and put together a very strong, solid performance that at the very least stopped the bleeding. He appeared calm and confident in net, made some big saves and gave us all a sneak peek at the very promising future this organization has between the pipes. Hooray for silver linings.
  • It wasn’t Alex Ovechkin’s best game of the year (and nowhere near as good as he’s been in the last week or two), but he still managed to lead the team in shot attempts with 12, which is nothing to sneeze at. Didn’t help that his usual pivot Mike Ribeiro was downright invisible, which has to be the first time this year we’ve been able to say that.
  • Good for Joel Ward for salvaging something in this game and preventing the embarrassment of being shut out by the Flyers. Pretty awesome goal, too, as he basically had Bruno Gervais hanging off of him and yet still managed to wrap the puck around a sprawled-out Ilya Bryzgalov to get the Caps on the board.
  • Here's hoping that Mathieu Perreault is okay after taking a knee-on-knee collision (and we'll let you be the judge on whether it was intentional and/or worthy of the five-minute penalty it drew) with Harry Zolnierczyk at center ice. Dirty or not, not a big fan of that kind of hit so late in the game and with the score as lopsided as it was. Just unnecessary.

As has been the case for most of the season, the Caps are still experiencing some growing pains - and for every 5-1 and 3-0 win they're going to have these nights where nothing seems to go right. The important thing will be the recovery time. Bounce back right away, put together another two or three wins in a row, and this is just a blip; let it fester and turn into something more, and things are going to get really ugly really quickly.

This team has proven of late that they can do the former - they'll get their chance in a few days.

Game highlights:

Thursday Caps Clips: Failadelphia

20130227_kdl_se7_015

Your savory breakfast links:

  • Recaps and other assorted musings on last night's loss from us, Monumental video (Oates, players, Grubauer), Vogs, NHL.com, CSNW (Joe B., gamer, blog), WaPo (gamer, blog), WashTimes (gamer, blog), DCEx, Peerless, DSP (and again), Sick Unbelievable and RMNB.
    • Mike Milbury - willfully ignoring or simply ignorant of Alex Ovechkin's run of superior play leading up to last night - takes 40 minutes of sub-par play as an opportunity to question the Caps' captain's manhood, effort, maturity and pride to a national audience, overshadowing any legitimate criticisms he might have been trying to make. Alrighty then. [Puck Daddy, WaPo, WashTimes, CSNW, SI, PHT, Sick Unbeliveable, SB Nation, Capitals Outsider, RMNB, Alex Ovetjkin]
  • Notes and assorted whatnot from yesterday's morning skate and pre-game goings-on:
    • In general. [Monumental video (Two-Man Advantage, Rinkside Update, Oates), WashTimes, CSNW]
    • With Michal Neuvirth under the weather, Philipp Grubauer got the call to back-up Braden Holtby... of course, he didn't spend the entire night backing-up. [Monumental (video), Dump 'n Chase, WashTimes (and again), WaPo, RMNB, Capitals Outsider]
  • Of all the problems the Caps had last night, "Braden Holtby playing in back-to-back games" wasn't one. [Dump 'n Chase, with much more on Holtby at NHL.com]
  • Some leftovers from Tuesday night's win over Carolina. [WashTimes, WaPo, DCEx, OFB, Homer McFanboy]
  • So far in 2013, John Erskine has been more than just a pretty face. [WashTimes]
  • The Caps are looking like they're slowly but surely headed in the right direction. [SI]
  • But the Southeast Division on the whole? Not so much. [ESPN]
  • Move Ovechkin to right wing and the Caps get shallow fast on the port side. [Capitals Outsider]
  • Finally, happy 45th birthday to Jeff Greenlaw and happy 55th to Jay Johnston.

Rabu, 27 Februari 2013

Capitals-Hurricanes Postgame Quote Sheet

Via the team, quotes following tonight's win:

Washington Capitals head coach Adam Oates his confidence in Braden Holtby…

"He’s playing very well. [Carolina] had a few extra shots, but chances wise they didn’t have a lot of chances tonight. A lot of those shots he sees from a long way out. I think he’s feeling really good. He’s on a little roll, so we’re riding him."

Washington Capitals head coach Adam Oates on tonight’s win and going into the game tomorrow against the Flyers …

"We’ll enjoy it for a little while and then tomorrow morning we’re going to focus on Philly, and we have to get back to work."

Washington Capitals defenseman John Erskine on playing more this season…

"I love the ice time. It’s fun in this system. Oatesy [Adam Oates] lets us jump up in the play more as long as we’re safe about it, and it gives us more offensive chances."

Washington Capitals forward Joel Ward on the play of the Capitals tonight…

"If you get chances, that means you are doing some good things. I’ve had a few tonight myself and some other guys as well. Obviously, it’s a good feeling, getting chances. I thought we played a good team game. Every line was going and everyone had chances."

Washington Capitals defenseman John Carlson on the play of the Capitals…

"I think it’s been going great. The best part of the whole scenario is that from day one, everyone stuck to it. When we were losing games and we were playing bad, guys didn’t come in the room and question anything. We stayed as a team and we did the right things. Clearly it took a little bit longer than any of us would like, but in the end hopefully it works out for the better."

Carolina Hurricanes head coach Kirk Muller on the play of Carolina…

"I was happy with the effort tonight…We had some opportunities to score. We didn’t score on those, couple of 2 on ones, a breakaway. They gave it everything they had."

Carolina Hurricanes head coach Kirk Muller on the early breakaway by Eric Staal and Alexander Semin…

"That was a pretty classy move that Eric [Staal] had there. Has the breakaway and lays it up to him [Alexander Semin] to give him the opportunity to be the hero early on in the game. But he [Braden Holtby] made the save. That could have been the difference right there."

Carolina Hurricanes forward Jordan Staal on the play of the Hurricanes…

"We had about 5 minutes where we were starting to get some momentum. We were feeling pretty confident going into the third. We just couldn’t find that extra push to get that first goal."

Carolina Hurricanes forward Jordan Staal on the power play to start the third and the need to score more goals…

"Power play [goal] would have been big. We need to find a way to score goals on the power play. We’ve been getting a little momentum off of it but just not enough."

Carolina Hurricanes defenseman Joe Corvo on the play of the Capitals…

"This is a tough place to play. They’re all over you the whole time. They don’t give you much time. They’re anticipating in our defensive zone where we are going to move the puck, so they don’t think about – they’re just all over the puck. And we didn’t do a good job of getting clean outs."

Carolina Hurricanes defenseman Joe Corvo on the play of Carolina goalie Cam Ward…

"He played really well, especially in the second to keep us in there. He definitely gave us a chance. We needed to score one goal somewhere in the second period to make a really exciting third, but we didn’t do so.

Capitals vs. Hurricanes Recap: Holtby Shuts Out Carolina, Caps win 3-0

162778268

[GameCenter - Ice Tracker - Game Summary - Event Summary - Shot Summary - Faceoff Summary - Play-by-Play - Home TOI - Visitor TOI - Fenwick Timeline]

Through the dust that was kicked up over the past 36 hours or so regarding a polarizing former Capital's return to D.C., one could make out a fairly important hockey game. The hosts trailed their division-leading guests (and eighth-place in the Conference) by six points as they readied for the first of five meetings on the season, emboldened by their resurgent captain, scintillating special teams and a big win over a good team, but knowing full well that their margin for error at both the micro and macro levels was minimal.

On this night, there were hardly any errors made at all, as the Caps put it all together in a 3-0 white-washing of the 'Canes.

Ten more notes on the game:

  • The big story (as far as media puffery goes, at least) was the return of Alexander Semin to Washington. The Caps faithful greeted Semin with mixed reactions pre-game, and there were some boos when he touched the puck. But the uber-talented winger nearly silenced the building in the first few minutes with a clean shorthanded breakaway (the result of a mind-numbingly bad play by Mike Green at the top of the Carolina zone). Instead, Braden Holtby beat his former teammate and the crowd erupted. (And not to be outdone, Troy Brouwer had a pretty - but ultimately fruitless - shorthanded chance of his own on the first 'Canes power play.)
  • A few minutes later, Alex Ovechkin drew yet another penalty (this one... on a backcheck?), and after a good zone-entry that afforded the Caps the opportunity to set-up that scorching-hot extra-man unit, Mike Ribeiro banked a puck off Nicklas Backstrom's stick in front. That makes 13 goals the two have been on the ice for together, and more than 75% of the Caps' goals this season being scored with at least one of the team's two top pivots on the ice.
  • That opening tally also marked the eighth game-in-a-row that the Caps have struck first... something that by no means guaranteed (or even implied) a favorable result on its own, especially against a Carolina team that has struggled mightily in first periods so far this season and already has six wins when trailing first. Despite out-shooting the 'Canes 17-12, the Caps would take a 1-0 lead into the first intermission...
  • ... which isn't as much cushion as they'd have liked, given that Carolina has outscored opponents 20-12 in second periods entering the game, and the Caps had been outscored 24-14 in those middle stanzas. The Caps, however, would push the play and their lead to 2-0 when John Carlson drove to the net without the puck on a rush, leaving a seam for Backstrom to find the trailer for a one-timer that beat Cam Ward. That trailer? Oh, just John Erskine, he of the new contract, who now finds himself just two goals shy of his single-season career high of four. Guess he couldn't let Backstrom have more goals than him for too long. Erskine's teams are now 13-0-0 in the regular season when he scores a goal, and the Caps are 10-0-0 in those games. Put him on the power play!
  • It was nearly 3-0 when a puck bounced off Joe Corvo, then Cam Ward and right to Joel Ward (no relation), who had a mostly-gaping net to shoot at... but managed to hit Cam Ward's glove. Or Cam Ward made a miraculous save. Or a little of both - I'll let you guys argue that one out.
  • The second period ended with the Caps up 2-0, outshooting Carolina 31-20, with the Caps having taken another 23 shots that were blocked or missed the net, and Carolina having 24 of those. That means that in 40 minutes of hockey, there were 98 shots attempted, or one every 24 seconds or so. That's quite a pace, and one the Caps would want to slow down a bit in the third... and it would.
  • With 8:31 left, John Carlson would provide an insurance tally on a one-timer off a cross-ice pass from Mathieu Perreault, a well-deserved reward for a great game played by a guy who's had an up-and-down season so far (Carlson, that is - it's been almost all "up" for Perreault). Gotta be the haircut, yeah?
  • At that point, there was only one question remaining. The answer? A resounding yes - Holtby's second shutout of the season and the fifth of his career would be a 33-save blanking. Throw him back in there tomorrow night, yeah?
  • Back to Backstrom, was this his best game of the season? He was everywhere, not just on the scoresheet. And in other "is he back?" news, Alex Ovechkin didn't register a shot on goal all night, but any slack he left was picked up by others - seven other Caps each had at least three shots on goal apiece, including seven from Jason Chimera and six each for Ward and Carlson. That's how it's supposed to work every now and again.
  • The other day we noted that it wasn't just the power-play that was red-hot for the Caps, but the penalty-kill as well. On Tuesday night, they were three-for-six overall (one-for-four on the power play, including that last cheapy; two-for-two on the penalty kill), and won the special teams battle 1-0. That'll certainly work.

The Caps got a team effort in a game they needed and got the result they deserved. It's that simple... so why has it been so hard?

And so it's off to Philly with confidence and momentum, and they can ill-afford to lose either right now.

Game highlights:

Wednesday Caps Clips: Southeast Shutout; Caps @ Flyers Game Day

20130226_jla_aq3_010

Your savory breakfast links:

  • Recaps and other assorted musings on last night's win from us (with quotes), Monumental (Oates, Holtby, players), Vogs, NHL.com, AP, SportsXchange, WaPo (gamer, blog), Wash Times (gamer, blog), CSNW (gamer, blog, Joe B.), DCEx, CBS Sports, Sportsnet, Frankovic, Peerless, Sick Unbelievable, DSP (and again), Puckhead, RMNB (and pics and stuff) and Caps Daily, and for the view from down south, Raleigh News-Observer and our SB Nation friends over at Canes Country.
    • Welcome back, Sasha. [Puck Daddy, Wash Times]
    • The Canes certainly didn't lose because of a bad night for Cam Ward, who kept it close early - including making the save of the game (year?) on Joel Ward. No relation. [Puck Daddy, CBC, KK]
    • Not to be outdone, Braden Holtby had a fine save in his own right on none other than Alexander Semin (to go with the rest en route to his second shutout of the year). [NHL, Sick Unbelievable]
  • Previews of tonight's game in the City of Brotherly Love from Vogs, NHL.com and AP, and be sure to check out the other side of the match-up from literally the best thing about Flyers hockey, our SB Nation pals over at Broad Street Hockey.
  • The Caps' power play continues to be powerful, striking again last night to bring their second-best percentage up to a whopping 28.6% with the extra man. [Puckhead]
  • He may not have registered a shot on goal last night, but it's clear that Alex Ovechkin is adjusting to his new position on the right side - and results are starting to follow. [NHL, Dump 'n Chase, FanPost]
  • Karl Alzner on Philly fans: "I probably have more memories from the fans than the games themselves". Yeah, they're pretty memorable. Among other things. [NHL]
  • So we've gone from "what the heck is wrong with the Caps" to "are the Caps 'back'?" in a matter of days. Whiplash is fun. [NHL]
  • One of the season's more pleasant surprises has been the steady work of Tomas Kundratek, who is fitting into the Caps' lineup just fine. [Sick Unbelievable]
  • Down on the farm:
    • Cautious optimism and all, but there seems to be some light at the end of the tunnel for Dmitry Orlov, who practiced in a contact jersey yesterday for the first time. [PennLive (and again)]
    • More on the return of once-retired goalie Frederic Cassivi to professional hockey as he suits up for the Reading Royals. [PennLive]
    • Mark French chats about Casey Wellman's call-up to the big club after a good start with the Bears. [PennLive]
  • More info is starting to trickle out about the latest realignment proposal, which would now include divisions and wild card playoff spots. [NHL, ESPN (LeBrun), Globe and Mail, Sportsnet (video), Sun, CBS Sports, CSNW]
  • For many players employed overseas during the lockout, the switch back to the NHL - and NHL-size ice surfaces - hasn't always been an easy one. [Globe and Mail]
  • Brooks Laich checked in with the Sports Junkies yesterday with all kinds of goodies as usual, from his thoughts on Ovechkin and Semin's reunion to his failed marriage proposal in Spain to a potential injury breakthrough. [CBS Radio, Bog]
  • Matt Hendricks hosted some pretty special guests at the game last night. [@MattHendy26, Caps Outsider]
  • The Caps talk about which jobs at Verizon Center/Kettler they'd like to try... and considering the havoc of the last few days, Troy Brouwer's response is particularly entertaining. [Monumental Today]
  • More about John Carlson's haircut from the head coach... because it's just that exciting that Carlson cut his hair. No, really. [Bog]
  • Introducing the NHL's first Social Rewards Program, right here in DC. #WayCool [Caps]

Selasa, 26 Februari 2013

The Return of Alexander Semin

Gyi0064324957

Over the course of his seven seasons in DC, there likely wasn't a more controversial and divisive player on the Capitals' roster than Alexander Semin. Innumerable column inches and pixels were devoted to unraveling the mystery that is Semin, a tough enough task when dealing with an open, forthcoming player let alone one who shied away from the media spotlight and generally eschewed the use of English. A phenomenal talent, he was at times prone to disappearing acts; an underrated defensive player, he was at times prone to lazy penalties. He could dictate the entire outcome of a game or make you question whether he even played in it. And it was this dichotomy that both amazed and frustrated all of us throughout his time in Washington.

The first time a former player returns with a new team is always a little jarring, but one imagines it will be more so for someone like Semin, someone who was part of this team for so long. Before departing via free agency last summer, Semin had been one of the longest-tenured Caps on a team that had seen almost wholesale roster turnover since the 2004 lockout. In fact, the 469 games in which he appeared for the Caps weren't just the most on the current roster - it puts him up among some of the franchise leaders in that department, the 25th-most games played for the Caps.

The adventure started way back in 2002, when the Caps selected Semin 13th overall in the NHL Entry Draft (one pick after taking Steve Eminger, if you can believe it).

Semin was a homegrown product long before the post-lockout glut of high draft picks and prospects formed the current roster's core. His selection in 2002 was followed by stints in Russia, the NHL and the AHL ... with a little stop in court along the way. But his "real" Caps career got underway in 2006-07 when the lawsuits and military service went away and he returned to the NHL to skate alongside countryman Alex Ovechkin. That first season back he would put up 73 points in 77 games and establish himself as a true elite sniper, feasting in particular on Southeast Division foes (including his first two career hat tricks against the Hurricanes and Lightning).

In his best season, 2009-10, he hit the 40-goal mark for the first time and added 44 assists for an 84-point campaign - all career highs. His seven hat tricks as a Cap (second only to Alex Ovechkin since 2002) included four in 2010-11 alone. The consistency with which he racked up points would vary but the totals can't be argued with - he had 46 points in 51 playoff games with the Caps, ranks 5th among all Caps players with 197 regular season goals and 15th all-time with 408 points.

Of course it wasn't all sunshine and rainbows for Alexander Semin here in DC, as we all well know. Along with the crazy talent and huge point totals came inconsistency, accusations of not caring (from fans and former teammates alike) and stretches where he just seemed to disappear, particularly in the playoffs. He was prone to the lazy, ill-timed and/or offensive zone penalties (especially those lovely stick infractions). He was called "enigmatic" so frequently that the word began to lose all meaning. But ultimately the biggest knock on The Other Alex was one that has been leveled on so many uber-talented underachievers over the years - that the performance on the ice never quite lived up to his abilities, the dreaded curse of elite talent.

And yet for all the criticisms,the frustrations, the disappearing acts and the mystery surrounding Alex Semin, the one thing that can't be denied is the fact that, when on, he was both incredibly talented and incredibly entertaining. From his one-legged wrist shot that seemed to have more velocity than the average slapshot to the hands that allowed him to almost maneuver through obstacles rather than around them and everything in between, we as Caps fans were lucky to get a front-row seat to such a talent for seven seasons (even if some felt that was one, two or seven seasons too many).

Which brings us back to tonight's game. For the first time Alexander Semin will step out onto Verizon Center ice in a jersey so familiar to Caps fans and yet rendered strange and almost unrecognizable by the name on the back. There's no doubt that when he does so, he'll be facing a decade of memories - and so will we. Gauging the reaction of the hometown crowd when a longtime Cap returns for the first time is tough to do, but the hope is that there will be at least some sort of positive response, a warm reception, some acknowledgement of the great hockey we were privileged to see while The Other Alex roamed these streets. (And please, no "whooping".)

Because he may have been a headcase... but for almost a decade he was our headcase.

************

Enjoy a look back at the Top 5 Alexander Semin moments here in DC:

5. Semin picks up his first career hat trick against his current team the way only Semin could - a slapshot, a wicked wrister and a tap-in:

Bruce Boudreau, Dale Hunter and Zone Entries

161239647

[Last week we pointed you to a post over at NHL Numbers regarding the importance of zone entries and the cutting-edge way they're being quantified and analyzed. What follows here is a guest post by Eric T., the author of that post and the paper that will be presented at the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference, regarding some of the Capitals-specific data that was left on the cutting room floor.]

Introduction: What's this zone entry stuff all about?

It's always bugged me that the existing metrics really aren't very good at assessing defensive skill.

You can look at how many shots or goals the other team gets when a certain player is on the ice, but a low number could be achieved either by playing good defense and breaking up the opponent's plays or by being really good with the puck and prolonging your own possessions to give the defense fewer chances. A good offense might at times be the best defense, but it'd still be more satisfying if we had stats that could tell who does well when the other team has the puck.

So with that aim, last year we started the zone entry project at Broad Street Hockey. The thinking was that by separating the game into offensive zone possessions, we could count how many shots or goals the opponent gets per possession, a number that should be completely isolated from confounding effects of offensive skill.

Entries with possession generated more than twice as many shots and goals as dump-and-chase plays.

As we worked up the data, we ran into a surprising result. We had separated out entries with possession (where you carry the puck in or pass it to a teammate) from entries without possession (where you dump or chip the puck deep and chase after it -- not including plays where you just dump and go for a line change). The entries with possession generated more than twice as many shots and goals as the dump-and-chase plays, but once you control for that, it is awfully hard to find players who are particularly good at getting or giving up shots on each entry. Zac Rinaldo might not carry the puck in as often as Claude Giroux, but the team got just as many shots from each of his carry-ins as it did from Giroux's (though Giroux's shots are probably more dangerous).

So with that discovery, we came to the tentative conclusion that most of a team's shot differential is determined by neutral zone play, by getting more offensive zone possessions than the opponent and especially by making those entries with possession of the puck. But we wanted more than just one team's data if we were going to draw a conclusion that strong, so we broadened out the project and looked at other teams.

One of the teams we looked at was the Capitals. So with that lengthy preamble out of the way, let's move on to the reason I'm posting here -- to share what we observed from the Caps.

Individual puck-handling stats

Players can drive shot differential by helping their team win more than their share of the neutral zone battles, so that their team gets more than half of the entries. They can also drive shot differential by challenging well at the blue line, forcing the opponent to dump the puck in. But for this article, I'm going to focus mostly on the individual puck-handling stats -- how often a given player sent the puck into the offensive zone, how they did it, and what the results were.

In the table below, here's what each line means (all stats are 5-on-5 only, and all except the last exclude dump-and-change plays):

  • Involvement: When the Capitals got an entry with him on the ice, what percentage of the time was he the one who sent the puck in?
  • Entries with possession: When he sent the puck in, what fraction of the time did he carry it in or pass it to a teammate, rather than dump it in?
  • Shots/carry: What was the average number of shots (including shots that miss the net but not blocked shots) per play when he carried the puck in?
  • Failure rate: What fraction of his attempts to carry the puck in were broken up (turnover at blue line, offsides, puck never gets more than a few feet into the zone, etc)?
  • Change rate: What fraction of the time that he sent the puck in did his line immediately go for a line change rather than try to recover the puck?
Player Involvement Entries with possession Shots/carry Failure rate Change rate
Ovechkin 33% 73% 0.55 15% 11%
Perreault 24% 69% 0.68 18% 17%
Semin 27% 69% 0.58 15% 11%
Johansson 30% 67% 0.52 13% 9%
Backstrom 29% 67% 0.51 12% 5%
Brouwer 20% 53% 0.60 13% 13%
Laich 20% 48% 0.53 16% 17%
Ward 30% 39% 0.63 20% 13%
Eakin 31% 38% 0.55 9% 13%
Knuble 21% 34% 0.57 29% 19%
Hendricks 28% 30% 0.60 14% 24%
Halpern 25% 29% 0.63 17% 15%
Chimera 33% 28% 0.56 15% 16%

Some miscellaneous observations:

The shots per carry in column doesn't really seem to match any obvious skill tendencies, which supports the observation made on other teams that it was basically random (i.e. the data from odd-numbered games for the Flyers or Wild was useless for predicting how they did in even-numbered games).

The Capitals were not particularly efficient in how they distributed the puck. Over this period, Perreault was generally on a line with Hendricks, and despite being more than twice as likely to gain the zone with possession, Perreault was actually less likely to be the one bringing the puck in. Chimera was the very worst forward on the team at gaining the zone and yet had the puck on his stick as much as anyone. The result is that the team likely did not get the most out of their talent.

Related: Zone Entries and Game Theory

Lokitonov_and_erskine_with_a_puck_between_them_medium After expending so much energy to get the puck, why on earth would a team voluntarily give it up?

Each line ended up with similar rates of having their entry attempts broken up. This suggests that the lower lines aren't really playing things safer; they end up with fewer dump-ins because they aren't as capable of beating the defense, not because they're staying farther away from potential risks. (Although Knuble did have a spectacularly bad year in this regard.)

The lesser lines do appear to be a bit more likely to dump the puck and go for a change. The top four scoring forwards on this list had change rates of 11%, 11%, 9%, and 5%; the other nine were all at least 13% and averaged over 16%.

Impact of coaching

We have about 20 games each under Bruce Boudreau and Dale Hunter. The difference between the two is very clear (stats below are 5-on-5, excluding dump-and-change plays):

Boudreau Hunter
How many of the zone entries went the Caps' way? 50.3% 49.0%
How many of the Caps' entries were with possession? 48.8% 47.4%
How often did the Caps' attempt to carry the puck fail? 13.5% 18.4%
How many of the opponents' entries were with possession? 48.7% 53.0%

Hunter did not have much impact on the top forwards, but he seemed to do everything he could to keep the bottom six from ever entering the offensive zone in possession of the puck (differences of more than 3% are highlighted):

Player Boudreau Hunter Difference
Ovechkin 74% 71% -3%
Perreault 72% 67% -5%
Semin 68% 71% +3%
Johansson 67% 66% -1%
Backstrom 65% 68% +3%
Brouwer 61% 42% -19%
Laich 53% 41% -12%
Eakin 42% 32% -10%
Ward 39% 38% -1%
Hendricks 37% 13% -24%
Chimera 36% 20% -16%
Halpern 35% 23% -12%
Knuble 31% 40% +9%

The difference is awfully clear, and the numbers do not reflect well on Hunter.

Capitals Re-Sign John Erskine

20130213_kkt_sb4_294

Per Mike Vogel, the Caps have re-signed defenseman John Erskine to a two-year contract extension worth $3.9 million ($1.9 mil in '13-14, $2 mil in '14-15). Erskine, 32, is in the second year of a 2-year, $3 million contract and would have been an unrestricted free agent July 1.

The team release:

ARLINGTON, Va. – The Washington Capitals have re-signed defenseman John Erskine to a two-year, $3.925 million contract extension, vice president and general manager George McPhee announced today. Erskine will earn $1.925 million in 2013-14 and $2 million in 2014-15.

Erskine, 32, currently ranks sixth on Washington in average ice time per game (19:30), the highest total in Erskine’s 11-season career. His previous high came in 2006-07, Erskine’s first year with Washington, when he finished the season with an average ice time total of 18:03 per game. He has tallied one goal and one assist this season and ranks fourth on Washington in hits (31) and tied for third in blocked shots (19).

The Kingston, Ontario, native has recorded nine goals and 32 assists along with 452 penalty minutes in 294 career games with the Capitals. Washington is 9-0-0 in games that Erskine tallies a goal and he currently ranks 17th all-time in games played among Washington defensemen. Just five other players remain on the current Washington roster from Erskine’s first season with the club in 2006-07.

The 6’4”, 220-pound blueliner has compiled 46 points (12 goals, 34 assists) and 788 penalty minutes in 435 career NHL games with Washington, the New York Islanders and Dallas. He currently ranks 16th among all active defensemen in penalty minutes. Erskine has appeared in 32 career playoff games, all with Washington, and ranks eighth among active players in career playoff games played with the Capitals.

Erskine was originally drafted by Dallas in the second round (39th overall) of the 1998 NHL Entry Draft.

Lastly, here's our Rink Wrap on Erskine's 2011-12 season.

Tuesday Caps Clips: 'Canes @ Caps Game Day

Uspw_5900242

Your savory breakfast links:

  • Previews of tonight's Southeast showdown with the 'Canes the from Vogs, NHL.com, WaPo, DCEx, CSNW, Peerless and RMNB, and be sure to check out our SB Nation partners over at Canes Country for more from the other side of tonight's match-up.
    • Oh, hey, a polarizing ex-Cap comes to town tonight (and no, we're not talking about Joe Corvo, whose awfulness is nearly universally accepted) as Alexander Semin makes his return to D.C. Don't expect Troy Brouwer to roll out the red carpet for him. [Monumental (video), NHL.com, Puck Daddy, AP, SI, WashTimes (and again), WaPo, DCEx, CSNW, WTOP, Eye on Hockey, DSP, SB Nation, Capitals Outsider]
  • The Caps were handing out two-year contract extensions yesterday like they were "1,000 Hours of AOL Free" CDs:
    • Braden Holtby got one! [Japers' Rink, Monumental (video), Dump 'n Chase, SI, WashTimes, WaPo, CBS9 (video), PHT, RMNB, Sick Unbelievable]
    • John Erskine got one! [Japers' Rink, Monumental (video), Dump 'n Chase, WashTimes, WaPo, RMNB, Sick Unbelievable]
    • And some folks combined the two in the same post because they're pixel conservationists like that (also, GMGM speaks). [Monumental video (McPhee), DCEx, CSNW, Eye on Hockey, THW, Puckhead]
  • Other notes and assorted whatnot from yesterday out at Kettler:
    • Nicklas Backstrom was under the weather and missed practice, and Jason Chimera left early. Both are questionable for tonight, which adds some intrigue. Mike Green, on the other hand, says he's 100% ready to return to the lineup. [Monumental video (Rinkside Update, Oates, Ovechkin, Green), WashTimes, WaPo, CSNW, NBC4, DSP]
  • Holtby also did a post-announcement radio hit with LaVar and Dukes. [106.7 the Fan (audio)]
  • Mike Ribeiro is running out of twigs. [Sick, Unbelievable]
  • Speaking of Ribeiro, he's the Caps' biggest chip when it comes to the trade deadline dip. [THW]
  • Backstrom now has more Geico ads than goals on the season, which is sub-optimal. [RMNB]
  • But he's got a long way to go before he catches the clubhouse leader (hint: Russian Endorsement Machine Never Breaks). [WaPo]
  • BREAKING: John Carlson has cut his hair. [RMNB, DSP]
  • I have no idea what a Drake is, but otherwise, I'm mostly Wojtek Wolski. [Capitals OT]
  • But seriously, what's up with Dub Dub? [Capitals Outsider]
  • That Freddy Cassivi story really is pretty cool. [Reading Eagle, Patriot-News]
  • Finally, here's the latest episode of Caps Red Line for your viewing pleasure. [Monumental (video)]

Senin, 25 Februari 2013

Capital Ups and Downs: Week 6

162440973

Your weekly look at individual Washington Capitals' ups and downs:

Goalies Trend Notes
Michal Neuvirth http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/217757/dash.png It's been nearly three weeks since Neuvirth last saw any game action, but with back-to-backs tomorrow night and Wednesday, expect that to change... right?
Braden Holtby http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/217733/up.png Holtby is 4-2-0/2.35/.926 in his last half-dozen starts and has either won or played extremely well - or both - in each of them... which is why Neuvirth has had the best seat in the house for six-straight. This past week, Holtby stopped 45 of the 47 Devils shots he saw at even strength (a .957 save percentage) and ten of 11 while shorthanded (including every one at four-on-five) in splitting two decisions. Holtbeast seems to be Holtback.
Defensemen
Karl Alzner http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/217733/up.png Numbers don't really support an up arrow here, but they rarely do with Alzner, who was on the ice for just a five-on-three goal-against this week (in more than eight minutes on the penalty kill) and the Caps' shorty, and contained the Devils' top guns at even-strength while skating alongside a guy with about a quarter of a season's worth of experience at the NHL level.
John Carlson http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/217757/dash.png Which Capital skater was on the ice for each of Jersey's four goals? You get three guesses and the first two don't count. Granted, Carlson wasn't particularly bad on any of the four (other than the shorty), and he was on the ice for three Caps tallies, but his uneven season continues to inch in the wrong direction - only Jason Pominville has been on the ice for more goals-against among NHL skaters.
John Erskine http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/217757/dash.png Paired with Carlson and yielding similar results... with a bit more culpability both on (two goals-against) and off the ice (he was in the box when Jersey scored the game-winner on Thursday). Oh, and he and Carlson each had Delay of Game penalties on Sunday, so yeah... similar results.
Mike Green http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/538577/ow.png Took warm-ups before both games but wasn't able to go for either, which presumably means he's close to a return... but even a three-game absence with a lower-body injury is more than Caps fans are completely comfortable with for Green.
Roman Hamrlik http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/217757/dash.png Last played when Neuvirth did. If not for Tomas Kundratek's ice time, the Czech embassy might be ready to lodge a formal complaint.
Jack Hillen http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/538577/ow.png One day when I was chillin' in Kentucky Fried Chicken - just mindin' my business, eatin' food and finger lickin' - this dude walked in lookin' strange and kind of funny, went up to the front with a menu and his money. He didn't walk straight - kind of side to side - he asked this old lady, "Yo, yo, um...is this Kentucky Fried?" The lady said, "Yeah," smiled and he smiled back. He gave a quarter and his order: small fries, Big Mac. You be Hillen.
Tomas Kundratek http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/217733/up.png Why yes, Tomas Kundratek does have as many power-play points this season as Mike Green, John Carlson and Dmitry Orlov combined. Who didn't see that coming? Kundratek was on the ice for three Caps goals this week (picking up an assist on Sunday) and nary a goal-against while playing in the top defensive-pair. That'll do.
Dmitry Orlov http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/538577/ow.png Still skating, still not taking contact, still badly needed in D.C.
Tom Poti http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/217757/dash.png Poti had a quietly decent two games as he likely awaits a return to the press box when Green is ready to go.
Jeff Schultz http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/217733/up.png An assist and no goals-against in two games for a guy who seems to be settling in as an overpaid third-pairing defenseman.
Forwards
Nicklas Backstrom http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/217757/dash.png Picked up single secondary assists in each game (giving him five points in his last five games), but has registered just one shot on goal in his last three outings. And while his offense isn't where we'd expect it to be (due in part to his linemates), Backstrom is playing solid defense (notably on New Jersey's 5-on-3's) and winning draws (60% over the last seven games), so he's still finding ways to contribute.
Jay Beagle http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/217733/up.png Any time a fourth-line center - who leads the team's forwards in shorthanded ice time - has a plus-two total goal differential for the week, it's a really good thing. Beagle also won 15 of the 19 draws he took (nine of 11 in the defensive zone; 72% overall in the last six games) and pulled a fast one on the zebras, which was nice (though the underlying penalty wasn't).
Troy Brouwer http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/217733/up.png Assisted on both Caps goals on Thursday (and got tagged with a misconduct for venting at the refs when the final buzzer sounded) and scored one of his own on Saturday. Of note, all three of Brouwer's points came on the power play (as have seven of his last nine and eight of his 12 points on the season), as his line has had trouble generating offense at even-strength of late.
Jason Chimera http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/217757/dash.png Picked up his seventh assist of the season on Saturday, but is still looking for his first goal... and riding shotgun on the top line as he continues that search. Besides the obvious drop-off in his shooting percentage from last year, Chimera is also shooting less - down from a career-high 2.5 shots per game in 2011-12 to 1.8 so far this season.
Joey Crabb http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/217737/down.png Don't think of Crabb as a fourth-liner who didn't play a second of special teams time this week, hasn't had a point since the second game of the season, has fewer shots on goal in ten February games than Alex Ovechkin had on Saturday, and skated as many shifts in two games as fellow fourth-liner Matt Hendricks did in either one. Instead, think of the fact that he's getting a sweater every night as a representation of how little depth this organization has up front right now.
Eric Fehr http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/217733/up.png Scored the first short-handed goal of his career on Saturday and spent the day bumped up to the second line. Next stop, a room in the penthouse apartment with Ovechkin and Ribeiro?
Matt Hendricks http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/217757/dash.png If you thought "Ovechkin from Hendricks" on Saturday was an unlikely goal-producing combo, you're right - it was the first of the captain's (then) 346 goals on which Hendricks has picked up a helper, "Hendricks from Ovechkin" has happened just once (but recently - four games earlier), and the two each assisted on a Scott Hannan goal in March of 2011. The more you know.
Marcus Johansson http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/538577/ow.png Needs to get healthy and get his career back on track, stat. And if he can't crack this lineup...
Brooks Laich http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/538577/ow.png Thought exercise: how many more points would the Caps have right now if Laich was healthy from the start of the season?
Alex Ovechkin http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/217733/up.png For five of the six periods the Caps played this week, Alex Ovechkin was the best skater on the ice (and the one in which he wasn't was the only period in which they were outscored, the penalty-plagued third on Thursday night). Ovechkin had the hat trick (and an assist) on Saturday, and between the two games registered 11 shots on goal (and another ten not on-goal) and nine hits, and was on the ice for six of the seven goals the team scored (and two of the four they allowed). Maybe that whole "shift to right wing" thing is working out, as he scored twice and drew a couple of penalties at even-strength.
Mathieu Perreault http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/217733/up.png Scored on his only shot of the week (and he has just one multi-shot game this season) and wasn't on the ice for any goals-against, which is a plus. But if we're talking "bonus," how about a face-off percentage of 56% on the season, including 67% in the last four games?
Mike Ribeiro http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/217733/up.png Ho-hum, a goal and two assists in two games. No Cap has been on the ice for more goals-for than Ribeiro (26), who now has seven multi-point games and has been held scoreless just four times.
Joel Ward http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/217757/dash.png Ward has gone three games without a point and five without a goal... but has also only been on the ice for two goals-against in his last eight games (and six goals-for during that span), five goals-against all season (and 14 goals-for), and no power-play goals-against in more than 20 minutes of penalty-killing ice time.
Wojtek Wolski http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/217737/down.png Hit what has to be a personal rock-bottom for the season when he somehow fired a shot at an open net wide from inside the crease. Wolski has now gone eight games without a point, a fact which is barely mitigated by his low salary.

Monday Caps Clips: Ovechkin and Oates and Trust

162443155

Your savory breakfast links:

  • Get caught up on any Clips you might have missed over the weekend right here.
  • Checking in with the Caps on a rare off-day for the team. [Dump 'n Chase]
  • The rest of the world may enjoy kicking Alex Ovechkin while he's down, but the most important thing is that he's had the trust and faith of Coach Oates all along - and it's starting to pay off. [WaPo (and again), CSNW]
  • Ovechkin's hat trick on Saturday wasn't just a breakout game; it was another step (and an important one) in his continued transition to right wing. [Wash Times]
  • Don't look now, but that horrific penalty kill from early in the season is slowly starting to turn around. [WaPo]
  • Speaking of the penalty kill, new addition Eric Fehr is getting more time shorthanded and is making the most of it. [WashTimes]
    • And speaking of Fehr, you can catch him on SiriusXM Hockey This Morning today at 8:45 a.m. [@CapitalsPR]
  • A look back at the week that was. [Peerless]
  • The Caps aren't just seeing a turnaround from Alex Ovechkin; the resurgence of Braden Holtby is another reason why the Caps are playing better of late. [Sick Unbelievable]
  • Thanks in large part to grassroots programs and community outreach by the NHL (to say nothing of recent success in "non-traditional" hockey markets), American NHLers are on the rise. U-S-A!! [Caps Outsider]
  • In Blast from the Past news, the Reading Royals have signed former Hershey Bears goalie Frederic Cassivi to fill in as Brandon Anderson is summoned to Hershey for an injured Dany Sabourin. Welcome back, Freddy. [PennLive, The Hockey House, @mashmore98]
  • Ovechkin's got a new Gillette ad (in Russian, natch), and it gives new meaning to "Hockey 'N Heels". Ladies, don't try this at home. [Alex Ovetjkin, RMNB]
  • Ex-Caps versus the current crew - who've you got? [Peerless]
  • Finally, happy 47th birthday to Byron Dafoe, happy 62nd to Andre Peloffy, and happy 27th to Jeff Schultz.

The Noon Number: 55.6

20130223_jrc_sb4_047

The Noon Number: 55.6 - Capitals overall special teams efficiency (i.e. power-play goals plus successful penalty kills divided by the sum of power-play opportunities plus times shorthanded, or ((PPG + (TS-PPGA))/(PP Opps + TS))... or "percentage of the time they've had a special teams opportunity that turned out favorably"). That mark (which is intended to capture both efficiency and weight opportunities on each special teams unit) is the highest the team has posted this late in a season since Game 29 of the 2010-11 campaign (56.8), and is higher than the team has had at any point other than during that 2010-11 season since before the 2004-05 lockout.

Of note, the Caps have an efficiency of 61.8% over the past 13 games, thanks to a scorching 50% power-play (!) over the past eight games and a 91% effective penalty kill over the last half-dozen games.

Minggu, 24 Februari 2013

Recap: Caps 5, Devils 1

162438416

[GameCenter - Ice Tracker - Game Summary - Event Summary - Shot Summary - Faceoff Summary - Play-by-Play - Home TOI - Visitor TOI - Shift Charts - Head-to-Head - Fenwick/Corsi - Zone Starts - Fenwick Timeline]

This has been a trying season for the Washington Capitals. Wins have been hard to come by and smiles have been few and far between. But this afternoon’s game against the New Jersey Devils was just what the doctor ordered. An Alex Ovechkin hat trick (and assist!) propelled the Caps to a 5-1 blowout over a very good Devils team. Mike Roibeiro added two assists and Braden Holtby played wonderfully in net to help the Caps notch their first victory against a top 8 team.

Sure, skeptics may be quick to point out that the win came against the Devils backup goalie, Johan Hedberg. Honestly, who cares? A win is a win is a win. And the Caps – and their fans - needed a blowout win like this.

Ten Eleven more notes on the game:

  • The Caps were brutally outshot Thursday night by the Devils, 37-19. Lesson learned. This afternoon, they kept the pace more reasonable, with the shot count at 26-20 for the Caps. That’s the type of pace the under-manned Caps need to play in order to be competitive on a nightly basis this season. It also helped that Braden Holtby played stellar and made key stops, sporting a game SV% of 0.950. That sort of goaltending was absent during the first quarter of the season.
  • Mike Ribeiro and Alex Ovechkin are going to get credit on the highlights for the Caps first goal. But the real catalyst was Jason Chimera, who broke up a Devils scoring chance (caused by a John Carlson giveaway) and helped start the break the other way. The breakout was clean, the o-zone entry sterling, the passing sublime, and the finish perfect. 1-0 Caps, for the seventh straight game.
  • The next two goals were clinics by two of the premier snipers in the NHL: Ilya Kovalchuk and Ovechkin. Both players gained speed in the neutral zone, used their opponent as a screen and rifled the puck past two startled goaltenders like only few players can. (But the Caps star shone brighter today!)
  • And it goes without saying…welcome back Ovi! Please stay for a while. Your fiancee can stay too!
  • Taking a lot of interference penalties – an infrequently called penalty - usually indicates that a team is slow and/or frequently out-of-position. The Caps have taken three in the past four games. What does that tell you? The team also took two more delay of game penalties. Assume what you want there.
  • Another infrequent hockey play is to see a penalty shot. We saw one of those this afternoon, as Steve Bernier got around Tom Poti and earned a penalty shot. But Bernier couldn’t solve Braden Holtby, who made the save look easy.
  • While interference penalties and penalty shots are infrequent, want to know what is downright rare, like once-or-twice-in-an-entire-NHL-season rare? A player losing his skate blade from his boot. That’s what happened to Eric Fehr late in the first and why he left for a bit. (Raise your hand if you thought he was injured?)
  • Speaking of Fehr, what a goal huh? Pickpocketing Hedberg and wrapping it around the net for the Caps first shortie on the season. You would never think of Fehr as an elite penalty killer, but that was an elite play and the back-breaker.
  • Add Wojtek Wolski to the list of Caps players (Brouwer, Ovechkin) who have missed obscenely wide open nets this season. Late in the first period, Wolski had the puck on his stick in the crease and an opposing goalie that had his back to the play. Although Wolski had time to make himself a sundae, he panicked and shot through the crease and wide. That’s an indicator of a player who’s pressing. But Adam Henrique repaid the favor two minutes into the second period. With half the net entirely open and unguarded, Henrique somehow managed to shoot it into Holtby, who otherwise was clearly beat. Tit-for-tat, I guess?
  • The ice looked like it held up well, considering that the Wizards played last night (good win, btw) and play again in a few hours. Of course, it doesn’t hurt that it’s 40 degrees outside, but still, props to the VZ staff for keeping the ice in respectable shape.
  • It’s been an all-too-familiar refrain this year, but the Caps defense is woefully under-manned, and that’s a fair statement even when they’re fully healthy. That said, props need to be given to this group tonight. This rag-tag bunch held the Devils to 20 shots and 1 goal.

So the Caps start with a new one game winning streak, this one coming against a solid New Jersey team. And although the team is still mired in last place and unlikely to make a sustained run at 8th place in the conference, by evening’s end they are going to only be six points back of the Southeast division leader. In other words, there is still a shot at salvaging a playoff-bound season. But they need to bear down. Three of their next five opponents are Southeast Division teams. If ever there was a time to go on a winning streak, now is the time.

Game highlights:

Sunday Caps Clips: Tricky Ovechkin

162443447

Your savory breakfast links:

  • Recaps and other assorted musings on yesterday's big win from us (with quotes, and look for Clyde's Shots later this morning), Monumental video (Oates, Ovechkin, players), Vogs, Capitals Voice, NHL.com, AP, SportsXchange, CSNW (Joe B., gamer, blog), WaPo, WashTimes (gamer, blog), SBN, DCEx, Frankovic, Peerless, DSP (and again), Sick Unbelievable, Caps Outsider, Caps Across the Pond and RMNB, and with the view from off the Turnpike, Fire & Ice, NJ.com, and our SB Nation pals over at In Lou We Trust.
    • It was a good team effort, but let's be honest - this game and it's 5-1 result all came down to one stellar (and nostalgic) performance by Alex Ovechkin as he nets his first hat trick of the year. [Caps OT (and again), Sick Unbelievable, Alex Ovetjkin, Caps Basketball, RMNB (and again), Puck Daddy]
    • Speaking of firsts, Eric Fehr chipped in with the team's first shorthanded goal of the season (and his first career shortie) just days after the Devils burned the Caps for their first SHG-against. [Caps Basketball]
    • Room for one more first? Braden Holtby's denial of Steve Bernier's penalty shot attempt was a huge moment in the game - and his first career stop (albeit in just two tries). [WaPo, Wash Times, NJ.com]
  • There's never been any question that as Ovechkin goes, so go the Caps. Now that the captain has seemingly found his stride, he needs to keep it up for his team. [Wash Times]
  • George McPhee and Adam Oates took some time to chat about the future and seem to have a plan in place... we hope. [DCEx]
  • If you ask Lou Lamoriello - a guy who knows both McPhee and Oates pretty well - he'll tell you that the Caps are on the right track. Again... we hope. [CSNW]
  • Bruce Garrioch once again bringing some interesting Caps-related rumors that no one else seems to have. So... grain of salt and all that. [Sun]
  • Talkin' realignment and what could be a drastically different NHL landscape next year. I don't know, "conference rival Columbus Blue Jackets" sounds a little weird. [CBC (with video), Puck Daddy, WaPo, Wash Times]
  • Congratulations to Philipp Grubauer on his first official shutout (hey, another first!) last night as the Hershey Bears downed the Adirondack Phantoms 3-0. [PennLive (with video), LDN, SHOE, Caps]
  • Finally, happy 55th birthday to Tim Coulis and happy 27th birthday to Wojtek Wolski.

Sabtu, 23 Februari 2013

Saturday Caps Clips: Devils @ Caps Game Day

Volchenkov_trips_ovechkin

Your savory breakfast links:

  • Previews of this afternoon's matinee against the Devils from Vogs, NHL.com, AP, Peerless and Sick Unbelievable, and be sure to check out our SB Nation friends over at In Lou We Trust for more from the other side of today's match-up.
  • Notes and assorted whatnot from yesterday out at Kettler:
    • In general. [DSP]
    • The Caps got in to just a wee bit o' penalty trouble the other night. Don't worry, guys, I don't think anyone noticed. [WaPo, DCEx, NBCW, CSNW (and again), Caps Daily]
    • After a second straight loss, Adam Oates has a minor tweak to the lineup - bumping Eric Fehr up to the second line where Wojtek Wolski used to reside. [WaPo, Wash Times]
    • Mike Green's status: still uncertain. Water: still wet. [WaPo, Wash Times (and again)]
  • A few leftovers from Thursday's loss to the Devils as the Caps get ready to face... the Devils. [Wash Times, CSNW, NBCW, SBN, RMNB]
  • If the Caps want some motivation for sticking with the system and straightening out the kinks, they need only look at their once and future opponent. [WaPo, Wash Times]
  • On Thursday night Alex Ovechkin again showed flashes of his old self, and it didn't go unnoticed - now he has to remember how to finish. [WaPo, Wash Times]
  • Radio hits:
    • Mathieu Perreault checks in with the Sports Reporters... [ESPN980]
    • ...Karl Alzner's hanging with Lavar and Dukes... [CBS Local]
    • ...and Twitter's newest heartthrob talks to the Junkies about movies, injuries, penalties and, well, about being Twitter's newest heartthrob. (Nice lead-in music, too.) [Sports Junkies]
  • If the season is lost (...ha, "if"), the Caps need to make sure it's not a lost cause. [Homer McFanboy]
  • Somewhat related, if the Caps should continue to wallow at the bottom of the League (.......ha, "if"), which 2013 draft picks could make an instant impact next season? [ESPN ($)]
  • Checking in with the goalies around the League. Yes, if the Caps' netminding duo had been better, the Caps wouldn't be so bad off. Of course that's also true of the goalscorers, the penalty-killers, the defense... [TSN]
  • Nicklas Backstrom handles both "splinters" and acting with aplomb. Not surprising. Super Swede!!1 [Bog]
  • Finally, happy 58th birthday to Peter Scamurra and happy 47th to John Druuuuuuce.

Capitals vs. Devils: Game 17 of 48

Kovalchuk_looks_for_what_hit_him

Washington looks to avoid being swept by New Jersey in their home-and-still-home mini-series


Next Game

New Jersey Devils
@ Washington Capitals

Saturday, Feb 23, 2013, 12:00 PM EST
Verizon Center

Saturday Caps Clips: Devils @ Caps Game Day
  • Previews of this afternoon's matinee against the Devils from Vogs, NHL.com, AP, Peerless and Sick Unbelievable, and be sure to check out our SB Nation friends over at In Lou We Trust for more from the other side of today's match-up.
Friday Caps Clips: Mo Penalties Mo Problems
  • Recaps and other assorted musings on last night's loss from us (with quotes, and look for Clyde's Shots later this morning), Monumental video (Oates, players), Vogs, NHL.com, CSNW (Joe B., gamer, blog), WaPo (gamer, blog), WashTimes (gamer, blog), DCEx (gamer, blog), Frankovic, Peerless, DSP (and again), Sick Unbelievable, OFB, Puckhead and RMNB (and again).

Complete Coverage >


Tonight's probable netminders:


GP MIN W L O GA GAA SA SV SV% SO
Braden Holtby
10 564 4 6 0 34 3.62 313 279 .891 1
Johan Hedberg
4 245 2 1 1 7 1.72 107 100 .935 1

Keep up with the latest Caps-related Tweets right here:

Look for updates in this story stream throughout the afternoon, including today's lines, new open threads for each period, and more.

And of course... have at it, people.

Jumat, 22 Februari 2013

Recap: Devils 3, Caps 2

20130213_kkt_sb4_268

[GameCenter - Ice Tracker - Game Summary - Event Summary - Shot Summary - Faceoff Summary - Play-by-Play - Home TOI - Visitor TOI - Fenwick Timeline]

On Sunday night, the Caps managed to stay with a hard-working team almost until the end, when a poorly-timed penalty cost them the point and eventually the game. So the hope was that tonight would be different, that the Caps could find their discipline and win the special teams battle - to say nothing of the play at even-strength - in order to get back on track.

Alas, it was not to be, as the Caps again took a series of ill-timed, undisciplined penalties (this time while holding a lead), looked sloppy even when five-a-side and let another two points slip through their fingers.

Ten more notes on the game:

  • Throughout the game the Caps were simply too loose in their own zone, allowing the Devils to run the show at even-strength and giving way too much time and space to guys like Ilya Kovalchuk and Patrik Elias. That they actually held a lead after two periods, let alone finished within one goal, is thanks once again to Braden Holtby.
  • The Caps' power play looked strong again tonight, with both of their goals coming with the extra man. Special teams would both be the story and not even begin to tell the story of this one, but there is some solace to be had in the power play continuing to cook. Mostly. We'll get to that.
  • Speaking of Holtby, his save percentage tonight was an impressive .919. The Caps' special teams goal differential was even (2 PPGs for, 1 PPG/1 SHG against). So they should have won... right? Oops.
  • As if a harbinger of things to come, Mathieu Perreault put the cherry on a pretty awful first period for the Caps by taking yet another offensive zone penalty, easily a mile away from his own zone - and on the power play, no less. And people say the Caps miss Alexander Semin...
  • Not sure if it was an homage, a parody or just pure desperation but Holtby did an excellent Martin Brodeur impression while killing off Perreault's penalty, coming out of the crease to play the puck and firing it out of the zone by himself. The way this team clears (or "clears") the puck sometimes, perhaps it’s not such a bad idea to do that more often...
  • Alex Ovechkin was a penalty-drawing machine, using his size and his ability to drive the net and force New Jersey to haul him down illegally. The Caps would cash in on second one, with Troy Brouwer showing some skillz in tight to get the initial shot off (and then pissing off Brodeur by taking an extra whack), after which Perreault was able to snap up the rebound and put it past Brodeur for the 1-0 lead.
  • Power play giveth, power play taketh away, power play giveth right the hell back. About a minute after Perreault's goal, the Caps were back on the power play and became completely unhinged in their own zone, which allowed Patrik Elias to score the first shorthanded goal on the Caps this year... and then a minute later Mike Ribeiro willed a dribbler of a shot through Marty’s legs to take the lead right back. Caps 2, Devils 1, Fans dizzy.
  • We talked about his penalty-drawing prowess, but Ovechkin overall looked like a very dangerous player tonight. The sequence in the second period in which he went from the right side of the ice to the middle and made the defenseman look silly in the process (a move which would be unavailable to him as a left-winger, by the way) was vintage Ovechkin with a twist. Problem was the guy in net was vintage Marty, who got the blocker on Ovechkin's shot at the last minute. The whole play was a microcosm of hockey greatness, which is always fun to see. Not so fun, of course, was the offensive-zone penalty he took later in the game. Bad Ovi.
  • As has been the case in so many games this year, the Caps wore a path to the penalty box at the most inopportune time - the third period, with a lead, against a good team - and it cost them, as one would expect. The tying goal came after the Caps took four (FOUR) straight minors, a fascinating montage that they then followed up with taking yet another penalty. That last one would prove to be too much, as the penalty kill couldn't sustain the pressure any longer and Ilya Kovalchuk's bomb of a shot would not be denied. Undisciplined play will jump up and bite you in the rear almost every time, and by the end of that little run the Caps’ collective buttocks had plenty of bite marks.
  • About that third goal... there actually was a fun little battle going on between Ilya Kovalchuk and Braden Holtby throughout tonight's game, with Holtby robbing Kovalchuk on a number of excellent chances from all distances. Of course it stopped being fun when Kovalchuk fired one past Braden on roughly the eleventy billionth power play the Devils enjoyed in the third, but that’s another issue...

Game one of the mini-series is in the books, and it's a disappointing one. The score, albeit not as close as it looks, offers a slight ray of hope that perhaps the Caps can at least stick with the top teams for stretches of a game... but not if they balance out some atrocious even-strength play with undisciplined, grueling penalties that sap the life out of their penalty-killers and the momentum out of the game. Of all the things they've improved upon, and they have made strides, their inability to stay disciplined when they most need to be is a troubling trend that hasn't seemed to budge all that much.

They'll get another shot at it in two days, as these two teams wash this one away in the shower and sleep it off with an eye towards Saturday's rematch. If the Caps can learn from this one and stay out of the box, they might be able to split the difference. If not? They're in for another rude awakening and another loss.

Game highlights:

Capitals-Devils Postgame Quote Sheet

Via the Caps, post-game quotes after their 3-2 loss to New Jersey:

Washington Capitals head coach Adam Oates on what to expect from the same team on Saturday…

"The atmosphere tonight was pretty intense. I think the guys will expect the same thing when it comes to Saturday. In terms of mistakes, we try to address the mistakes every night. You don’t want mistakes."

Washington Capitals head coach Adam Oates on the amount of penalties…

"In the start of the third period you have a lead, and then you give them two 5-on-3’s in one period. Obviously that’s too much."

Washington Capitals center Nicklas Backstrom on the penalties…

"It’s frustrating and we talked about it. We have to be more disciplined. It’s not good enough. The first 5-on-3 we did a good job, but we got another one right after."

Washington Capitals forward Jay Beagle on the third period…

"It’s not deflating. You look at what we had to do. Nicky [Nicklas Backstrom] is blocking shots on a 5-on-3. It’s not deflating at all. We played a good game. It was a tough third."

Washington Capitals forward Jay Beagle on the constant penalty kills…

"That’s my job. I obviously don’t want to kill and I don’t want to be in that situation, but that’s what I get paid to do. For me that’s my role, that’s my job."

Washington Capitals defenseman Karl Alzner on the play of Alex Ovechkin…

"It was nice. We need him coming down the wall with speed, shooting the puck from the side…whenever he is doing that, it’s great for him. It gets him in the game that much more and it gets us fired up to see that."

New Jersey Devils head coach Peter DeBoer on not scoring on the first five-on-three and squandering some power plays…

"I thought our bench was good. They were composed. We kept our composure. There was a little bit of frustration but we stuck with it and found a way. This group has been pretty good at that."

New Jersey Devils head coach Peter DeBoer on being down after two periods…

"[There] was a little disappointment because we were so good in the first [period]. A little credit to [the Capitals] for responding – we knew they would and obviously we took too many penalties. I thought we got our game back in the third [period] and drew some penalties which led to the win."

New Jersey Devils forward Patrik Elias on the game tonight and how the Devils stuck with it…

"We had a good a start to the game. We had three great opportunities right from the get-go in the first ten minutes. [The puck hit] the post or trickled through the crease. It was one of those nights, we had to stay with it and obviously, in the third [period], we got the opportunities on the power play."

New Jersey Devils forward Patrik Elias on the mini-slide the Devils have been going through…

"It’s going to happen, you’re not going to play perfect. You’re going to go through times when the team game is not there, but you’ve just got to find a way. By no means was it a perfect game by us today. We did some good things but we did some bad things too, so we’re really happy with the two points."

New Jersey Devils forward IIya Kovalchuk on the Devils five-on-threes tonight…

"[The Capitals] did well on the first one. They blocked a lot of shots, but our power coach wants us to be a ‘shooting’ power play, so they kept blocking the shots, and the last one went through [for the game-winning goal], so we’ll take the two points."

New Jersey Devils forward IIya Kovalchuk on how the team responded after a couple off games…

"We didn’t play well the last couple of games and it wasn’t our best game tonight but in the third period, I think we found our legs and [goaltender Martin Brodeur] made some big saves in the second [period] to give us a lot of energy. I think in the third period we dominated, and that’s why [the Capitals] took a couple penalties and we scored."

Friday Caps Clips: Mo Penalties Mo Problems

Ovechkin_and_brodeur_take_a_moment

Your savory breakfast links:

  • Recaps and other assorted musings on last night's loss from us (with quotes, and look for Clyde's Shots later this morning), Monumental video (Oates, players), Vogs, NHL.com, CSNW (Joe B., gamer, blog), WaPo (gamer, blog), WashTimes (gamer, blog), DCEx (gamer, blog), Frankovic, Peerless, DSP (and again), Sick Unbelievable, OFB, Puckhead and RMNB (and again).
    • Nifty move, Alex Ovechkin. [SB Nation]
  • Notes and assorted whatnot from yesterday's morning skate and pre-game goings-on:
    • In general. [Monumental video (Two-Man Advantage, Oates, Johansson), WashTimes, WaPo, CSNW, DCEx, DSP, NJ.com]
  • Troy Brouwer's hot start to the season has helped... but a "bonus"? Isn't it what he's paid to do? [WashTimes]
  • Talkin' shootouts, and Braden Holtby gives his top-five Caps shooters. [CSNW]
  • Where does right wing Alex Ovechkin rank among the League's best (fantasy) left wingers? [Dobber]
  • Tomas Kundratek is coming along nicely. [WaPo]
  • Wojtek Wolski waits for Lady Luck. [DCEx]
  • What if the Caps' window isn't closing... but rather opening? Mind blown, right? [Sick, Unbelievable]
  • DECIBEL METERS! Err, decibel meters. (Sorry, got caught up in decibel meter madness.) [Capitals Outsider]
  • Speaking of noise (but the good kind), heeeeere's Horn Guy! (Alternate bullet text: Me so Horn-guy.) [NBC4]
  • Notes from up the road in Hershey... [Patriot-News]
  • ... where the Bears are loaning Sergey Kostenko to Ontario (ECHL) so he can get more playing time. [Patriot-News]
  • Fantastic FanPost responding to that Zone Entries white paper we linked to yesterday. [Japers' Rink FanPost]
  • We're hockey fans and we don't care if you like our sport or not. [SportsonEarth.com]
  • Finally, happy 38th birthday to Patrick Boileau, happy 42nd to Jason Marshall, happy 48th to Joe Reekie, and happy 60th to Al Hangsleben.

Kamis, 21 Februari 2013

Thursday Caps Clips: Devils @ Caps Game Day

136093345

Your savory breakfast links:

  • Previews of tonight's dance with the... well, you know... from Vogs, NHL.com, WashTimes, CSNW, Peerless, RMNB and RtR, and be sure to check out our SB Nation friends over at In Lou We Trust for more from the other side of tonight's match-up.
  • Notes and assorted whatnot from yesterday out at Kettler:
    • In general. [Monumental video (Oates, Ovechkin, Alzner, Carlson, Wolski), DSP]
    • Mike Green skates... and then doesn't. Patience, grasshopper. [WashTimes, WaPo (and again), CSNW]
    • New Socks Wednesdays are the best Wednesdays. [WashTimes, WaPo]
  • Super-interesting stuff on some of the battles within the battles - faceoffs. [Dump 'n Chase]
  • Today in Alex Ovechkin: When did the Russian Machine break? [The Classical]
  • ... Is Ovi the only thing holding back Ovi? [CSNW (video)]
  • ... Is he "washed up"? [WaPo]
  • ... His teammates come to his defense... [CSNW]
  • ... And Bruce Boudreau chimes in. [Puck Daddy]
  • Joel Ward did a hit on LaVar and Dukes. [106.7 the Fan (audio)]
  • Twitter got a little more handsome yesterday... [Capitals Outsider, RMNB]
  • ... something that seemed highly unlikely not long ago. [mediachameleon]
  • The future of advanced statistical analysis in hockey is unfolding before our eyes. [NHL Numbers]
  • Finally, Rod Langway reflects upon some of his Caps glory days. [Monumental (video)]

Rabu, 20 Februari 2013

Caps Questions: How Do You Feel About the Goaltending?

020913_clyde

As much as we are one big, happy Rink family, the shocking fact is that we don't always agree on everything about the Caps - so throughout the season we'll present mini-roundtables, with each of us weighing in on a pressing question or issue facing the team, a player or the League as a whole. Next up, a look at the goalies - now and long-term.

How comfortable are you with a goaltending tandem of Braden Holtby and Michal Neuvirth, both short-term (i.e. the rest of this season) and for the foreseeable future?

Becca: Thanks to the strangeness of this compact season, my answer now is much different than it would have been even ten days ago. Earlier in the year I wasn’t sure how comfortable I was with the current duo - Michal Neuvirth and Braden Holtby weren’t always the reason for the losses but they weren’t stealing games, either, and it felt like the Caps needed them to do so.

Now, however, I do think Holtby is starting to settle in and find his rhythm - his best performance of the year was against the Rangers and that followed two pretty solid starts in the three games prior. And despite a couple that he’d probably want back, Neuvirth has also been decent-to-excellent so far. I think if the team in front of them can pull it together (and stop making the defensive zone such an adventure) I’d be very comfortable with Holtby-Neuvirth finishing out the year.

This holds true as far as the future is concerned, as well; I’d love to see the two of them battle it out for years to come... although I think in a salary cap world the odds of the team being able to keep both of them long-term (or even beyond the next year or two) are pretty slim, especially if they end up being a lottery team this year. Having two young, talented goalies is a luxury and pretty tempting trade bait - if the Caps start to sell off pieces to collect picks and retool/rebuild (or even just want to capitalize on their assets), either one of them would fetch a pretty decent price. And both of them could be a number 1 guy - and will want to be that guy - so eventually one of them will probably want out in order to have that opportunity.

Rob: In terms of short term, I agree with Becca. The team has been such a mess that I don’t think the goalies are really the problem (or a potential solution) to what is going on. If the skaters were firing on all cylinders then I might be nervous, but I think both of the young goalies are capable of giving competent (sometimes much better) NHL goaltending. You may not know which goalie is going to give you that on a given night, but the potential is there. So for this season, I’m fine with the tandem.

Going forward, I prefer the goalies-by-volume approach. These guys have played ok so far, but I think GMGM should continue to draft goalies in the mid-rounds and continue to see if he can catch lightning in a bottle. I wouldn’t go for a high-priced veteran goalie. I’m fine with giving both of these guys the opportunity to be "the man," but I’m not exactly banking on either one of them right now. What I disagree with is that either of these goalies is particularly tempting trade bait.

Goalies are too volatile, and neither of these goalies has the pedigree or performance to warrant a high price tag. There’s the odd Semyon Varlamov trade, but if you look around the league, young goalies, even goalies with more success than Neuvirth or Holtby, don’t get traded for a big return very often. Let them play out their contracts for as long as they are affordable, keep drafting the Philipp Grubauers and other potential goalies, and just hope that you always have competent NHL goaltending on the roster. Maybe someday they’ll luck into the next Henrik Lundqvist.

JP: In the short-term, I agree with the group - these guys aren’t any more or less the reason for the team being where it is than a lack of skilled wingers or the lack of defensive depth. And, frankly, in what may very well end up being a revamping (if not rebuilding) year, it doesn’t make much sense to use assets on a potential solution that may not yield dramatically better results in the short-term and/or could be an albatross in the long-term (I’m looking at you, Roberto Luongo). So use the rest of this season as an evaluation - both Holtby and Neuvirth are restricted free agents after this season - and see where you are in the summer...

...which of course brings us to the long-term. Both of these guys are young, but the question I’d be asking is, "How confident are you that each of them is or will soon be at least a League-average goalie?" Let’s start with Neuvirth. In 115 regular season NHL games he has a career even-strength save percentage - the most reliable measure we have - of .917 on nearly 2,400 shots-against (down a point from where he started the season). That’s right around average, and over that sample, I’d say there’s a pretty good chance that he’s at least capable of being a legit back-up in the League... except the downward trend is concerning, as his even-strength save percentage has gone .918 (in five games his first season), .922 (17), .922 (48), .912 (38) and .888 (in seven games so far in 2013). But so long as he rebounds this year, he’ll be cheap enough and good enough to bring back with enough confidence that he’s at least a decent back-up, still with upside (as late bloomers happen all the time).

Holtby, on the other hand, has a smaller sample size (just 647 regular-season even-strength shots against), but a higher save percentage than Neuvirth, a cool .921 that was .931 before this season started. But guess what - after his third season, Neuvirth’s ES SV% was at .922 over more than twice as many shots as Holtby has faced so far. We have no idea how good Holtby is or will be (Sunday night and last year’s playoffs notwithstanding). His upside is tempting, but there’s no solid evidence right now to believe that he will become a franchise goaltender.

So I suppose where I come down on this is let Holtby and Neuvirth play out the rest of this shortened season, and if Neuvirth doesn’t bounce back or if Holtby continues to be wildly inconsistent, maybe they bring in a veteran next year alongside Holtby, depending on how they envision next year playing out, but they could probably even take one more year of figuring out what they’ve got in these two guys.

Kareem: I agree with the premise that Holtby/Neuvirth should be the tandem for the remainder of this season. This season is turning into a waste and the Caps’ problems go deeper than goaltending (although the goaltending this year has been poor with a collective 0.888 save percentage). From a long-term perspective the Caps need to find out what they have in Holtby. They know what they have with Neuvy...a guy with a 0.908 career save percentage in over 100 starts, basically a legit NHL backup goaltender. Holtby, on the other hand, is still a wild card, and I would prefer to see him get a bulk of the starts for the remainder of the season to figure out if he can turn into a true NHL starter.

The Caps "new window" of opportunity will open up in two years when supposed game-changers Filip Forsberg and Evgeny Kuznetsov join the team (plus whatever treasure they can get their hands on in this upcoming draft due to this year’s looming fiasco). Ultimately, it’s the Caps’ job to figure out if Holtby is going to be the #1 goalie in that next phase. If he’s not, add one more to-do to an ever-growing list.